KV Mechelen
L
L
D
W
W
W
4-3
(xG) 1.46 - 1.78
St. Truiden
L
W
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 62.77% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Lost

KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Achter de Kazerne
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, KV Mechelen scored an average of 0.93 goals per match, compared to St. Truiden 2.07 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, KV Mechelen scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.83, whereas St. Truiden scored 1.50 and conceded 2.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.46 for KV Mechelen and 1.78 for St. Truiden. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 62.77%.

H2H - KV Mechelen vs. St. Truiden

30-01-2027
St. Truiden
-
(HT -)
KV Mechelen
11-10-2026
KV Mechelen
4 - 3
(HT 3-1)
St. Truiden
24-05-2026
St. Truiden
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
KV Mechelen
26-04-2026
KV Mechelen
1 - 4
(HT 1-1)
St. Truiden
21-12-2025
St. Truiden
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
04-10-2025
KV Mechelen
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
St. Truiden
21-02-2025
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
St. Truiden
08-11-2024
St. Truiden
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
12-05-2024
St. Truiden
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
KV Mechelen
05-04-2024
KV Mechelen
2 - 3
(HT 1-0)
St. Truiden
03-12-2023
KV Mechelen
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
St. Truiden
17-09-2023
St. Truiden
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
11-03-2023
KV Mechelen
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
St. Truiden
27-08-2022
St. Truiden
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
KV Mechelen
04-03-2022
St. Truiden
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
KV Mechelen
06-11-2021
KV Mechelen
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
St. Truiden

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest KV Mechelen

05.09 vs KVC Westerlo 0-4
L
11.09 vs Anderlecht 0-1
L
19.09 @ Lommel United 0-0
D
11.10 vs St. Truiden 4-3
W
31.10 vs Genk 1-0
W
04.11 @ Kortrijk 1-3
W

Away Crest St. Truiden

11.10 @ KV Mechelen 4-3
L
15.10 vs Saburtalo 2-0
W
22.10 @ FC Midtjylland 0-1
W
25.10 @ Club Brugge KV 3-2
L
01.11 vs OH Leuven 1-2
L
05.11 vs Brann 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.