Union St. Gilloise
D
D
W
W
W
W
5-2
(xG) 2.03 - 0.86
Cercle Brugge
L
D
L
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.12% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stade Joseph Marien
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Cercle Brugge 1.15 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 0.33, whereas Cercle Brugge scored 1.17 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.03 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.86 for Cercle Brugge. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.12%.

H2H - Union St. Gilloise vs. Cercle Brugge

13-03-2027
Cercle Brugge
-
(HT -)
Union St. Gilloise
25-10-2026
Union St. Gilloise
5 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Cercle Brugge
26-12-2025
Cercle Brugge
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Union St. Gilloise
22-11-2025
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Cercle Brugge
08-12-2024
Cercle Brugge
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Union St. Gilloise
27-10-2024
Union St. Gilloise
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Cercle Brugge
19-05-2024
Cercle Brugge
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Union St. Gilloise
07-04-2024
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Cercle Brugge
03-12-2023
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Cercle Brugge
24-09-2023
Cercle Brugge
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
18-01-2023
Cercle Brugge
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Union St. Gilloise
09-10-2022
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Cercle Brugge
18-12-2021
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Cercle Brugge
02-10-2021
Cercle Brugge
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Union St. Gilloise

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Union St. Gilloise

11.10 vs OH Leuven 1-1
D
15.10 vs Real Sociedad 1-1
D
22.10 vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0
W
25.10 vs Cercle Brugge 5-2
W
31.10 @ Waasland-beveren 1-2
W
05.11 @ Celta Vigo 1-2
W

Away Crest Cercle Brugge

06.09 vs Gent 0-3
L
12.09 @ OH Leuven 1-1
D
19.09 @ Charleroi 3-2
L
10.10 vs Anderlecht 1-2
L
25.10 @ Union St. Gilloise 5-2
L
01.11 vs Antwerp 2-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.