St. Truiden
W
W
L
L
D
W
-
(xG) 1.80 - 1.03
KV Mechelen
L
D
W
W
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.85% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Daio Wasabi Stayen
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, St. Truiden scored an average of 2.07 goals per match, compared to KV Mechelen 0.93 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, St. Truiden scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.50, whereas KV Mechelen scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.80 for St. Truiden and 1.03 for KV Mechelen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.85%.

H2H - St. Truiden vs. KV Mechelen

30-01-2027
St. Truiden
-
(HT -)
KV Mechelen
11-10-2026
KV Mechelen
4 - 3
(HT 3-1)
St. Truiden
24-05-2026
St. Truiden
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
KV Mechelen
26-04-2026
KV Mechelen
1 - 4
(HT 1-1)
St. Truiden
21-12-2025
St. Truiden
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
04-10-2025
KV Mechelen
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
St. Truiden
21-02-2025
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
St. Truiden
08-11-2024
St. Truiden
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
12-05-2024
St. Truiden
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
KV Mechelen
05-04-2024
KV Mechelen
2 - 3
(HT 1-0)
St. Truiden
03-12-2023
KV Mechelen
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
St. Truiden
17-09-2023
St. Truiden
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
11-03-2023
KV Mechelen
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
St. Truiden
27-08-2022
St. Truiden
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
KV Mechelen
04-03-2022
St. Truiden
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
KV Mechelen
06-11-2021
KV Mechelen
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
St. Truiden

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest St. Truiden

15.10 vs Saburtalo 2-0
W
22.10 @ FC Midtjylland 0-1
W
25.10 @ Club Brugge KV 3-2
L
01.11 vs OH Leuven 1-2
L
05.11 vs Brann 1-1
D
08.11 vs Zulte Waregem 4-1
W

Away Crest KV Mechelen

11.09 vs Anderlecht 0-1
L
19.09 @ Lommel United 0-0
D
11.10 vs St. Truiden 4-3
W
31.10 vs Genk 1-0
W
04.11 @ Kortrijk 1-3
W
07.11 @ OH Leuven 2-0
L

St. Truiden (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Zulte Waregem Home Win Over 2.5 4 - 1
vs Brann Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 1
vs OH Leuven Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 2
@ Club Brugge KV Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 2
@ FC Midtjylland Home Win Over 2.5 0 - 1

KV Mechelen (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ OH Leuven Away Win Over 2.5 2 - 0
@ Kortrijk Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 3
vs Genk Draw Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs St. Truiden Away Win Over 2.5 4 - 3
@ Lommel United Draw Under 2.5 0 - 0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.