Union St. Gilloise
D
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.46 - 1.36
Standard Liege
L
L
L
L
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 73.29% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Union St. Gilloise vs Standard Liege

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Stade Joseph Marien
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.20 goals per match, compared to Standard Liege 0.90 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.50, whereas Standard Liege scored 1.83 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Union St. Gilloise vs Standard Liege match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.46 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.36 for Standard Liege. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 73.29%.

H2H - Union St. Gilloise vs. Standard Liege

06-03-2027
Union St. Gilloise
-
(HT -)
Standard Liege
26-12-2026
Standard Liege
-
(HT -)
Union St. Gilloise
14-02-2026
Standard Liege
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Union St. Gilloise
16-08-2025
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Standard Liege
09-03-2025
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Standard Liege
20-09-2024
Standard Liege
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Union St. Gilloise
25-02-2024
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Standard Liege
04-08-2023
Standard Liege
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
18-02-2023
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Standard Liege
13-11-2022
Standard Liege
2 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
03-04-2022
Standard Liege
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Union St. Gilloise
28-08-2021
Union St. Gilloise
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Standard Liege

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Union St. Gilloise

15.10 vs Real Sociedad 1-1
D
22.10 vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0
W
25.10 vs Cercle Brugge 5-2
W
31.10 @ Waasland-beveren 1-2
W
05.11 @ Celta Vigo 1-2
W
08.11 vs Genk 1-0
W

Away Crest Standard Liege

12.09 @ KVC Westerlo 4-2
L
18.09 @ Gent 2-1
L
11.10 vs Charleroi 0-1
L
25.10 @ Genk 2-1
L
31.10 vs Kortrijk 1-1
D
06.11 vs Waasland-beveren 3-0
W

Union St. Gilloise (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Genk Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
@ Celta Vigo Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 2
@ SK Beveren Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 2
vs Cercle Brugge Home Win Over 2.5 5 - 2
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Home Win Over 2.5 4 - 0

Standard Liege (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs SK Beveren Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 0
vs Kortrijk Draw Under 2.5 1 - 1
@ Genk Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 1
vs Charleroi Draw Under 2.5 0 - 1
@ Gent Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.