KV Mechelen
L
D
W
W
W
L
-
(xG) 1.47 - 1.87
Charleroi
W
W
W
L
W
W

Mathematical Predictions: KV Mechelen vs Charleroi

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 64.74% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

KV Mechelen team crest KV Mechelen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for KV Mechelen
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ OH Leuven 2 O2.5 2-0
04 Nov 26 @ Kortrijk 2 O2.5 1-3
31 Oct 26 vs Genk X O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 vs St. Truiden 2 O2.5 4-3
19 Sep 26 @ Lommel United X U2.5 0-0

Charleroi team crest Charleroi Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Charleroi
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ KVC Westerlo X O2.5 1-5
01 Nov 26 vs RAAL La Louvière 1 U2.5 5-2
24 Oct 26 @ Antwerp 2 O2.5 3-0
11 Oct 26 @ Standard Liege X U2.5 0-1
19 Sep 26 vs Cercle Brugge X O2.5 3-2

KV Mechelen vs Charleroi

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Achter de Kazerne
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, KV Mechelen scored an average of 1.40 goals per match, compared to Charleroi 1.27 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, KV Mechelen scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.17, whereas Charleroi scored 1.83 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in KV Mechelen vs Charleroi match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.47 for KV Mechelen and 1.87 for Charleroi. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.74%.

H2H - KV Mechelen vs. Charleroi

20 Mar 27
KV Mechelen
-
(HT -)
Charleroi
22 Aug 26
Charleroi
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
07 Dec 25
KV Mechelen
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Charleroi
28 Sep 25
Charleroi
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
KV Mechelen
18 May 25
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Charleroi
19 Apr 25
Charleroi
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
KV Mechelen
08 Mar 25
Charleroi
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
KV Mechelen
31 Aug 24
KV Mechelen
5 - 2
(HT 3-2)
Charleroi

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest KV Mechelen

11 Sep vs Anderlecht 0-1
L
19 Sep @ Lommel United 0-0
D
11 Oct vs St. Truiden 4-3
W
31 Oct vs Genk 1-0
W
04 Nov @ Kortrijk 1-3
W
07 Nov @ OH Leuven 2-0
L

Away Crest Charleroi

13 Sep @ Zulte Waregem 0-1
W
19 Sep vs Cercle Brugge 3-2
W
11 Oct @ Standard Liege 0-1
W
24 Oct @ Antwerp 3-0
L
01 Nov vs RAAL La Louvière 5-2
W
07 Nov @ KVC Westerlo 1-5
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.