Union St. Gilloise
D
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.08 - 1.11
KV Mechelen
L
D
W
W
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 61.89% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Stade Joseph Marien
In their previous 12 head-to-head matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 1.08 goals per match, compared to KV Mechelen 1.17 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.50, whereas KV Mechelen scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.08 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.11 for KV Mechelen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.89%.

H2H - Union St. Gilloise vs. KV Mechelen

03-04-2027
Union St. Gilloise
-
(HT -)
KV Mechelen
13-12-2026
KV Mechelen
-
(HT -)
Union St. Gilloise
10-05-2026
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
12-04-2026
KV Mechelen
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
17-01-2026
Union St. Gilloise
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
09-11-2025
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Union St. Gilloise
16-02-2025
Union St. Gilloise
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
KV Mechelen
02-11-2024
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
17-12-2023
Union St. Gilloise
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
KV Mechelen
19-08-2023
KV Mechelen
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Union St. Gilloise
19-03-2023
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
KV Mechelen
06-08-2022
KV Mechelen
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Union St. Gilloise
12-12-2021
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
22-08-2021
KV Mechelen
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Union St. Gilloise

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Union St. Gilloise

15.10 vs Real Sociedad 1-1
D
22.10 vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0
W
25.10 vs Cercle Brugge 5-2
W
31.10 @ Waasland-beveren 1-2
W
05.11 @ Celta Vigo 1-2
W
08.11 vs Genk 1-0
W

Away Crest KV Mechelen

11.09 vs Anderlecht 0-1
L
19.09 @ Lommel United 0-0
D
11.10 vs St. Truiden 4-3
W
31.10 vs Genk 1-0
W
04.11 @ Kortrijk 1-3
W
07.11 @ OH Leuven 2-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.