KV Mechelen
L
D
W
W
W
L
-
(xG) 1.35 - 1.65
Gent
W
L
W
L
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 57.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

KV Mechelen vs Gent

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Achter de Kazerne
In their previous 17 head-to-head matches, KV Mechelen scored an average of 1.06 goals per match, compared to Gent 1.94 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, KV Mechelen scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.17, whereas Gent scored 1.33 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in KV Mechelen vs Gent match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.35 for KV Mechelen and 1.65 for Gent. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.68%.

H2H - KV Mechelen vs. Gent

10-04-2027
KV Mechelen
-
(HT -)
Gent
09-08-2026
Gent
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
KV Mechelen
03-05-2026
KV Mechelen
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Gent
06-04-2026
Gent
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
08-03-2026
Gent
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
KV Mechelen
16-08-2025
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Gent
07-02-2025
KV Mechelen
3 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Gent
15-09-2024
Gent
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
KV Mechelen
04-05-2024
KV Mechelen
2 - 4
(HT 2-3)
Gent
20-04-2024
Gent
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
19-01-2024
Gent
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
KV Mechelen
06-08-2023
KV Mechelen
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Gent
16-04-2023
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Gent
16-10-2022
Gent
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
10-05-2022
KV Mechelen
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Gent
07-05-2022
Gent
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
KV Mechelen
15-12-2021
KV Mechelen
4 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Gent
15-08-2021
Gent
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest KV Mechelen

11.09 vs Anderlecht 0-1
L
19.09 @ Lommel United 0-0
D
11.10 vs St. Truiden 4-3
W
31.10 vs Genk 1-0
W
04.11 @ Kortrijk 1-3
W
07.11 @ OH Leuven 2-0
L

Away Crest Gent

15.10 vs Aarhus 1-0
W
22.10 @ SC Braga 2-0
L
25.10 vs Anderlecht 4-0
W
01.11 @ Lommel United 2-0
L
05.11 @ KuPS 0-0
D
08.11 vs Kortrijk 1-0
W

KV Mechelen (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ OH Leuven Away Win Over 2.5 2 - 0
@ Kortrijk Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 3
vs Genk Draw Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs St. Truiden Away Win Over 2.5 4 - 3
@ Lommel United Draw Under 2.5 0 - 0

Gent (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Kortrijk Home Win Under 2.5 1 - 0
@ KuPS Away Win Under 2.5 0 - 0
@ Lommel United Away Win Under 2.5 2 - 0
vs Anderlecht Draw Under 2.5 4 - 0
@ SC Braga Draw Under 2.5 2 - 0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.