Union St. Gilloise
D
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.64 - 0.52
Kortrijk
L
W
L
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 61.05% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Union St. Gilloise vs Kortrijk

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Stade Joseph Marien
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.75 goals per match, compared to Kortrijk 0.88 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.50, whereas Kortrijk scored 0.17 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Union St. Gilloise vs Kortrijk match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.64 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.52 for Kortrijk. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.05%.

H2H - Union St. Gilloise vs. Kortrijk

01-05-2027
Union St. Gilloise
-
(HT -)
Kortrijk
22-11-2026
Kortrijk
-
(HT -)
Union St. Gilloise
09-02-2025
Kortrijk
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
29-09-2024
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kortrijk
18-02-2024
Kortrijk
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Union St. Gilloise
12-11-2023
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Kortrijk
23-04-2023
Kortrijk
2 - 4
(HT 2-1)
Union St. Gilloise
13-08-2022
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Kortrijk
05-03-2022
Kortrijk
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Union St. Gilloise
14-08-2021
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kortrijk

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Union St. Gilloise

15.10 vs Real Sociedad 1-1
D
22.10 vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0
W
25.10 vs Cercle Brugge 5-2
W
31.10 @ Waasland-beveren 1-2
W
05.11 @ Celta Vigo 1-2
W
08.11 vs Genk 1-0
W

Away Crest Kortrijk

13.09 @ RAAL La Louvière 3-0
L
20.09 vs Waasland-beveren 1-0
W
10.10 @ Genk 3-0
L
31.10 @ Standard Liege 1-1
D
04.11 vs KV Mechelen 1-3
L
08.11 @ Gent 1-0
L

Union St. Gilloise (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Genk Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
@ Celta Vigo Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 2
@ SK Beveren Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 2
vs Cercle Brugge Home Win Over 2.5 5 - 2
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Home Win Over 2.5 4 - 0

Kortrijk (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Gent Home Win Under 2.5 1 - 0
vs KV Mechelen Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 3
@ Standard Liege Draw Under 2.5 1 - 1
@ Genk Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 0
vs SK Beveren Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.