Genk
D
L
W
W
L
L
-
(xG) 1.72 - 1.08
KV Mechelen
L
D
W
W
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.16% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Genk vs KV Mechelen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Cegeka Arena
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Genk scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to KV Mechelen 1.08 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Genk scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.67, whereas KV Mechelen scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Genk vs KV Mechelen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.72 for Genk and 1.08 for KV Mechelen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.16%.

H2H - Genk vs. KV Mechelen

22-05-2027
Genk
-
(HT -)
KV Mechelen
31-10-2026
KV Mechelen
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Genk
13-02-2026
KV Mechelen
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Genk
23-11-2025
Genk
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
KV Mechelen
18-01-2025
KV Mechelen
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Genk
28-09-2024
Genk
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
KV Mechelen
11-02-2024
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Genk
22-10-2023
Genk
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
KV Mechelen
17-02-2023
KV Mechelen
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Genk
28-10-2022
Genk
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
KV Mechelen
21-05-2022
KV Mechelen
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Genk
29-04-2022
Genk
4 - 2
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
16-02-2022
Genk
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
KV Mechelen
05-12-2021
KV Mechelen
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Genk

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Genk

13.09 vs Gent 1-1
D
20.09 @ Club Brugge KV 3-0
L
10.10 vs Kortrijk 3-0
W
25.10 vs Standard Liege 2-1
W
31.10 @ KV Mechelen 1-0
L
08.11 @ Union St. Gilloise 1-0
L

Away Crest KV Mechelen

11.09 vs Anderlecht 0-1
L
19.09 @ Lommel United 0-0
D
11.10 vs St. Truiden 4-3
W
31.10 vs Genk 1-0
W
04.11 @ Kortrijk 1-3
W
07.11 @ OH Leuven 2-0
L

Genk (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Union St. Gilloise Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
@ KV Mechelen Draw Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs Standard Liege Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 1
vs Kortrijk Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 0
@ Club Brugge KV Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 0

KV Mechelen (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ OH Leuven Away Win Over 2.5 2 - 0
@ Kortrijk Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 3
vs Genk Draw Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs St. Truiden Away Win Over 2.5 4 - 3
@ Lommel United Draw Under 2.5 0 - 0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.