Union St. Gilloise
D
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.48 - 1.66
Charleroi
W
W
W
L
W
W

Mathematical Predictions: Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 78.12% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Union St. Gilloise team crest Union St. Gilloise Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Union St. Gilloise
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Genk 1 O2.5 1-0
05 Nov 26 @ Celta Vigo 2 O2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 @ SK Beveren 2 O2.5 1-2
25 Oct 26 vs Cercle Brugge 1 O2.5 5-2
22 Oct 26 vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 O2.5 4-0

Charleroi team crest Charleroi Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Charleroi
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ KVC Westerlo X O2.5 1-5
01 Nov 26 vs RAAL La Louvière 1 U2.5 5-2
24 Oct 26 @ Antwerp 2 O2.5 3-0
11 Oct 26 @ Standard Liege X U2.5 0-1
19 Sep 26 vs Cercle Brugge X O2.5 3-2

Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Stade Joseph Marien
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.27 goals per match, compared to Charleroi 0.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.50, whereas Charleroi scored 1.83 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.48 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.66 for Charleroi. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 78.12%.

H2H - Union St. Gilloise vs. Charleroi

22 May 27
Union St. Gilloise
-
(HT -)
Charleroi
05 Sep 26
Charleroi
2 - 3
(HT 2-2)
Union St. Gilloise
14 Dec 25
Charleroi
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
18 Oct 25
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Charleroi
11 Jan 25
Charleroi
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Union St. Gilloise
16 Aug 24
Union St. Gilloise
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Charleroi
10 Dec 23
Charleroi
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Union St. Gilloise
01 Oct 23
Union St. Gilloise
3 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Charleroi

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Union St. Gilloise

15 Oct vs Real Sociedad 1-1
D
22 Oct vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0
W
25 Oct vs Cercle Brugge 5-2
W
31 Oct @ Waasland-beveren 1-2
W
05 Nov @ Celta Vigo 1-2
W
08 Nov vs Genk 1-0
W

Away Crest Charleroi

13 Sep @ Zulte Waregem 0-1
W
19 Sep vs Cercle Brugge 3-2
W
11 Oct @ Standard Liege 0-1
W
24 Oct @ Antwerp 3-0
L
01 Nov vs RAAL La Louvière 5-2
W
07 Nov @ KVC Westerlo 1-5
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.