Croatia HNL
Stadion HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
W L W L D L
VS
xG 1.77 - 0.84
HNK Gorica
W L D D L L

Mathematical Predictions: HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.59% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

HNK Rijeka team crest HNK Rijeka Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for HNK Rijeka
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Istra 1961 2 O2.5 3-1
01 Nov 26 vs NK Varazdin 1 O2.5 1-1
27 Oct 26 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 O2.5 2-1
16 Oct 26 @ Rudes 2 O2.5 1-2
11 Oct 26 @ NK Slaven Belupo X U2.5 4-1

HNK Gorica team crest HNK Gorica Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for HNK Gorica
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs NK Slaven Belupo X U2.5 3-5
31 Oct 26 @ HNK Hajduk Split 1 U2.5 5-0
24 Oct 26 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 O2.5 0-0
17 Oct 26 @ NK Osijek 1 O2.5 1-1
09 Oct 26 vs Rudes 1 U2.5 1-2

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Croatia HNL
Stadion HNK Rijeka
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, HNK Rijeka scored an average of 1.30 goals per match, compared to HNK Gorica 1.03 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, HNK Rijeka scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.83, whereas HNK Gorica scored 0.50 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.77 for HNK Rijeka and 0.84 for HNK Gorica. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.59%.

H2H - HNK Rijeka vs. HNK Gorica

01 May 27
HNK Rijeka
-
(HT -)
HNK Gorica
22 Nov 26
HNK Rijeka
-
(HT -)
HNK Gorica
31 Aug 26
HNK Gorica
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
HNK Rijeka
23 May 26
HNK Rijeka
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
HNK Gorica
22 Mar 26
HNK Gorica
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
HNK Rijeka
21 Dec 25
HNK Rijeka
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
HNK Gorica
05 Oct 25
HNK Gorica
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
HNK Rijeka
04 May 25
HNK Rijeka
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
HNK Gorica

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest HNK Rijeka

20 Sep vs HNK Hajduk Split 3-0
W
11 Oct @ NK Slaven Belupo 4-1
L
16 Oct @ Rudes 1-2
W
27 Oct @ Dinamo Zagreb 2-1
L
01 Nov vs NK Varazdin 1-1
D
07 Nov @ Istra 1961 3-1
L

Away Crest HNK Gorica

19 Sep @ Istra 1961 0-1
W
09 Oct vs Rudes 1-2
L
17 Oct @ NK Osijek 1-1
D
24 Oct vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0
D
31 Oct @ HNK Hajduk Split 5-0
L
07 Nov vs NK Slaven Belupo 3-5
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.