Croatia HNL
Gradski stadion Varazdin
NK Varazdin
D W L L D L
VS
xG 0.98 - 0.95
HNK Gorica
W L D D L L

Mathematical Predictions: NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 69.41% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

NK Varazdin team crest NK Varazdin Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for NK Varazdin
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Dinamo Zagreb X U2.5 1-3
01 Nov 26 @ HNK Rijeka 1 O2.5 1-1
24 Oct 26 vs NK Slaven Belupo 1 U2.5 1-2
18 Oct 26 @ HNK Hajduk Split 1 O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 O2.5 0-1

HNK Gorica team crest HNK Gorica Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for HNK Gorica
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs NK Slaven Belupo X U2.5 3-5
31 Oct 26 @ HNK Hajduk Split 1 U2.5 5-0
24 Oct 26 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 O2.5 0-0
17 Oct 26 @ NK Osijek 1 O2.5 1-1
09 Oct 26 vs Rudes 1 U2.5 1-2

NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Croatia HNL
Gradski stadion Varazdin
In their previous 25 head-to-head matches, NK Varazdin scored an average of 1.28 goals per match, compared to HNK Gorica 1.36 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, NK Varazdin scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 0.83, whereas HNK Gorica scored 0.50 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.98 for NK Varazdin and 0.95 for HNK Gorica. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.41%.

H2H - NK Varazdin vs. HNK Gorica

12 May 27
NK Varazdin
-
(HT -)
HNK Gorica
06 Dec 26
NK Varazdin
-
(HT -)
HNK Gorica
14 Sep 26
HNK Gorica
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
NK Varazdin
03 Apr 26
NK Varazdin
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
HNK Gorica
26 Jan 26
HNK Gorica
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
NK Varazdin
19 Oct 25
HNK Gorica
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
NK Varazdin
04 Aug 25
NK Varazdin
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
HNK Gorica
04 Apr 25
NK Varazdin
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
HNK Gorica

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest NK Varazdin

19 Sep vs NK Osijek 0-0
D
11 Oct @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1
W
18 Oct @ HNK Hajduk Split 1-0
L
24 Oct vs NK Slaven Belupo 1-2
L
01 Nov @ HNK Rijeka 1-1
D
08 Nov vs Dinamo Zagreb 1-3
L

Away Crest HNK Gorica

19 Sep @ Istra 1961 0-1
W
09 Oct vs Rudes 1-2
L
17 Oct @ NK Osijek 1-1
D
24 Oct vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0
D
31 Oct @ HNK Hajduk Split 5-0
L
07 Nov vs NK Slaven Belupo 3-5
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.