Croatia HNL
Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split
W W D W L W
VS
xG 1.80 - 1.35
HNK Rijeka
W L W L D L

Mathematical Predictions: HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.91% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

HNK Hajduk Split team crest HNK Hajduk Split Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for HNK Hajduk Split
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ NK Osijek X U2.5 0-1
05 Nov 26 @ Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs HNK Gorica 1 U2.5 5-0
26 Oct 26 @ Istra 1961 X O2.5 2-2
22 Oct 26 @ FC Thun 2 O2.5 0-1

HNK Rijeka team crest HNK Rijeka Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for HNK Rijeka
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Istra 1961 2 O2.5 3-1
01 Nov 26 vs NK Varazdin 1 O2.5 1-1
27 Oct 26 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 O2.5 2-1
16 Oct 26 @ Rudes 2 O2.5 1-2
11 Oct 26 @ NK Slaven Belupo X U2.5 4-1

HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Croatia HNL
Stadion Poljud
In their previous 41 head-to-head matches, HNK Hajduk Split scored an average of 1.07 goals per match, compared to HNK Rijeka 1.54 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, HNK Hajduk Split scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.17, whereas HNK Rijeka scored 1.00 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.80 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.35 for HNK Rijeka. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.91%.

H2H - HNK Hajduk Split vs. HNK Rijeka

15 May 27
HNK Hajduk Split
-
(HT -)
HNK Rijeka
13 Dec 26
HNK Hajduk Split
-
(HT -)
HNK Rijeka
20 Sep 26
HNK Rijeka
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
HNK Hajduk Split
26 Apr 26
HNK Rijeka
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
HNK Hajduk Split
22 Feb 26
HNK Hajduk Split
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
HNK Rijeka
22 Nov 25
HNK Rijeka
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
HNK Hajduk Split
31 Aug 25
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
HNK Rijeka
18 May 25
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
HNK Rijeka

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest HNK Hajduk Split

18 Oct vs NK Varazdin 1-0
W
22 Oct @ FC Thun 0-1
W
26 Oct @ Istra 1961 2-2
D
31 Oct vs HNK Gorica 5-0
W
05 Nov @ Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-0
L
08 Nov @ NK Osijek 0-1
W

Away Crest HNK Rijeka

20 Sep vs HNK Hajduk Split 3-0
W
11 Oct @ NK Slaven Belupo 4-1
L
16 Oct @ Rudes 1-2
W
27 Oct @ Dinamo Zagreb 2-1
L
01 Nov vs NK Varazdin 1-1
D
07 Nov @ Istra 1961 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.