Derby
L
W
L
W
L
W
-
(xG) 1.42 - 1.06
Swansea
W
D
W
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 55.10% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Derby vs Swansea

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Derby and Swansea face each other in the match on at Pride Park . The two teams have met 12 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.25 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals.

In the last 10 matches Derby have scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 0.67 goals, while Swansea scored 1.50 and conceded 1.33.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

H2H - Derby vs. Swansea

Date Competition Match
17-04-2027 England Championship 2026 Swansea - (HT -) Derby
29-08-2026 England Championship 2026 Derby - (HT -) Swansea
14-02-2026 England Championship 2025 Derby 2-0 (HT 0-0) Swansea
25-11-2025 England Championship 2025 Swansea 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
05-04-2025 England Championship 2024 Swansea 1-0 (HT 0-0) Derby
27-11-2024 England Championship 2024 Derby 1-2 (HT 0-2) Swansea
09-04-2022 England Championship 2021 Swansea 2-1 (HT 2-1) Derby
02-10-2021 England Championship 2021 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Swansea
01-05-2021 England Championship 2020 Swansea 2-1 (HT 0-0) Derby
16-12-2020 England Championship 2020 Derby 2-0 (HT 2-0) Swansea
08-02-2020 England Championship 2019 Swansea 2-3 (HT 0-1) Derby
10-08-2019 England Championship 2019 Derby 0-0 (HT 0-0) Swansea
01-05-2019 England Championship 2018 Swansea 1-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
01-12-2018 England Championship 2018 Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Swansea
England Championship 17-04-2027
Swansea
-
(HT -)
Derby
England Championship 29-08-2026
Derby
-
(HT -)
Swansea
England Championship 14-02-2026
Derby
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Swansea
England Championship 25-11-2025
Swansea
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Derby
England Championship 05-04-2025
Swansea
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Derby
England Championship 27-11-2024
Derby
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Swansea
England Championship 09-04-2022
Swansea
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Derby
England Championship 02-10-2021
Derby
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Swansea
England Championship 01-05-2021
Swansea
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Derby
England Championship 16-12-2020
Derby
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Swansea
England Championship 08-02-2020
Swansea
2 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Derby
England Championship 10-08-2019
Derby
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Swansea
England Championship 01-05-2019
Swansea
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Derby
England Championship 01-12-2018
Derby
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Swansea