England Championship
TBA
Southampton
W D W W D L
VS
xG 1.81 - 1.73
Middlesbrough
W D W W L D

Mathematical Predictions: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 68.73% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Southampton team crest Southampton Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Southampton
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Preston 2 O2.5 1-0
03 Nov 26 @ West Brom X U2.5 1-1
31 Oct 26 vs QPR 1 O2.5 4-1
24 Oct 26 @ West Ham 1 O2.5 2-3
17 Oct 26 vs Bolton 1 O2.5 0-0

Middlesbrough team crest Middlesbrough Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Middlesbrough
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Watford X O2.5 0-0
04 Nov 26 @ Wrexham 2 O2.5 2-0
31 Oct 26 vs Charlton 1 O2.5 3-0
23 Oct 26 @ Bolton 2 O2.5 1-5
17 Oct 26 vs Cardiff 1 O2.5 2-2

Southampton vs Middlesbrough

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Championship
TBA
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Southampton scored an average of 1.10 goals per match, compared to Middlesbrough 1.20 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Southampton scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 0.67, whereas Middlesbrough scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Southampton vs Middlesbrough match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.81 for Southampton and 1.73 for Middlesbrough. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 68.73%.

H2H - Southampton vs. Middlesbrough

27 Nov 26
Southampton
-
(HT -)
Middlesbrough
12 May 26
Southampton
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Middlesbrough
09 May 26
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Southampton
04 Jan 26
Middlesbrough
4 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Southampton
27 Sep 25
Southampton
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Middlesbrough
29 Mar 24
Southampton
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Middlesbrough
23 Sep 23
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Southampton
13 May 17
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Southampton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Southampton

14 Oct @ Norwich 0-1
W
17 Oct vs Bolton 0-0
D
24 Oct @ West Ham 2-3
W
31 Oct vs QPR 4-1
W
03 Nov @ West Brom 1-1
D
07 Nov @ Preston 1-0
L

Away Crest Middlesbrough

13 Oct @ Stoke City 2-3
W
17 Oct vs Cardiff 2-2
D
23 Oct @ Bolton 1-5
W
31 Oct vs Charlton 3-0
W
04 Nov @ Wrexham 2-0
L
07 Nov @ Watford 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.