England Championship
Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea
W L L W L L
VS
xG 1.50 - 1.35
Cardiff
W D W L D W

Mathematical Predictions: Swansea vs Cardiff

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.19% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Swansea team crest Swansea Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Swansea
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Birmingham 1 O2.5 2-1
03 Nov 26 @ Portsmouth 1 O2.5 3-1
31 Oct 26 vs Blackburn X U2.5 4-0
24 Oct 26 @ QPR X U2.5 5-0
17 Oct 26 vs West Ham 2 O2.5 0-1

Cardiff team crest Cardiff Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Cardiff
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Burnley 1 O2.5 5-4
04 Nov 26 vs West Ham 2 O2.5 3-3
31 Oct 26 @ Wolves 1 O2.5 3-0
24 Oct 26 vs Birmingham X U2.5 1-0
17 Oct 26 @ Middlesbrough 1 O2.5 2-2

Swansea vs Cardiff

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Championship
Swansea.com Stadium
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Swansea scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Cardiff 0.71 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Swansea scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Cardiff scored 0.67 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Swansea vs Cardiff match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.50 for Swansea and 1.35 for Cardiff. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.19%.

H2H - Swansea vs. Cardiff

29 Nov 26
Swansea
-
(HT -)
Cardiff
18 Jan 25
Cardiff
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Swansea
25 Aug 24
Swansea
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Cardiff
16 Mar 24
Swansea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Cardiff
16 Sep 23
Cardiff
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Swansea
01 Apr 23
Cardiff
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Swansea
23 Oct 22
Swansea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Cardiff
02 Apr 22
Cardiff
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Swansea

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Swansea

13 Oct @ Millwall 0-1
W
17 Oct vs West Ham 0-1
L
24 Oct @ QPR 5-0
L
31 Oct vs Blackburn 4-0
W
03 Nov @ Portsmouth 3-1
L
07 Nov @ Birmingham 2-1
L

Away Crest Cardiff

13 Oct vs Watford 5-1
W
17 Oct @ Middlesbrough 2-2
D
24 Oct vs Birmingham 1-0
W
31 Oct @ Wolves 3-0
L
04 Nov vs West Ham 3-3
D
07 Nov vs Burnley 5-4
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.