England Championship
Turf Moor
Burnley
D L L D D L
VS
xG 1.07 - 0.79
Preston
L L D L L W

Mathematical Predictions: Burnley vs Preston

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 71.54% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Burnley team crest Burnley Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Burnley
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Cardiff 1 O2.5 5-4
03 Nov 26 @ QPR 1 O2.5 1-1
31 Oct 26 vs Portsmouth X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 @ Lincoln 2 O2.5 4-1
16 Oct 26 vs Wolves X U2.5 1-2

Preston team crest Preston Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Preston
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Southampton 2 O2.5 1-0
03 Nov 26 vs Sheffield Utd 2 O2.5 2-3
31 Oct 26 @ Stoke City 1 U2.5 2-0
24 Oct 26 vs West Brom 2 O2.5 1-1
17 Oct 26 @ Wrexham 1 O2.5 4-1

Burnley vs Preston

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Championship
Turf Moor
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Burnley scored an average of 0.71 goals per match, compared to Preston 0.86 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Burnley scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.33, whereas Preston scored 0.67 and conceded 2.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Burnley vs Preston match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.07 for Burnley and 0.79 for Preston. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 71.54%.

H2H - Burnley vs. Preston

06 Dec 26
Burnley
-
(HT -)
Preston
01 Mar 25
Preston
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Burnley
15 Feb 25
Preston
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Burnley
05 Oct 24
Burnley
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Preston
11 Feb 23
Burnley
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Preston
13 Sep 22
Preston
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Burnley
22 Apr 16
Preston
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Burnley
05 Dec 15
Burnley
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Preston

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Burnley

13 Oct vs Charlton 2-2
D
16 Oct vs Wolves 1-2
L
24 Oct @ Lincoln 4-1
L
31 Oct vs Portsmouth 0-0
D
03 Nov @ QPR 1-1
D
07 Nov @ Cardiff 5-4
L

Away Crest Preston

13 Oct @ Birmingham 4-0
L
17 Oct @ Wrexham 4-1
L
24 Oct vs West Brom 1-1
D
31 Oct @ Stoke City 2-0
L
03 Nov vs Sheffield Utd 2-3
L
07 Nov vs Southampton 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.