England Championship
Fratton Park
Portsmouth
W D W D W L
VS
xG 1.43 - 1.22
Southampton
W D W W D L

Mathematical Predictions: Portsmouth vs Southampton

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 50.46% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Portsmouth team crest Portsmouth Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Portsmouth
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Stoke City X O2.5 1-2
03 Nov 26 vs Swansea 1 O2.5 3-1
31 Oct 26 @ Burnley X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 vs Millwall X O2.5 2-1
20 Oct 26 @ Wolves 1 O2.5 1-1

Southampton team crest Southampton Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Southampton
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Preston 2 O2.5 1-0
03 Nov 26 @ West Brom X U2.5 1-1
31 Oct 26 vs QPR 1 O2.5 4-1
24 Oct 26 @ West Ham 1 O2.5 2-3
17 Oct 26 vs Bolton 1 O2.5 0-0

Portsmouth vs Southampton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Championship
Fratton Park
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth scored an average of 0.80 goals per match, compared to Southampton 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Portsmouth scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.33, whereas Southampton scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Portsmouth vs Southampton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.43 for Portsmouth and 1.22 for Southampton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.46%.

H2H - Portsmouth vs. Southampton

28 Feb 27
Portsmouth
-
(HT -)
Southampton
11 Oct 26
Southampton
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Portsmouth
25 Jan 26
Portsmouth
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Southampton
14 Sep 25
Southampton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Portsmouth
07 Apr 12
Southampton
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Portsmouth
18 Dec 11
Portsmouth
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Southampton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Portsmouth

17 Oct @ Norwich 0-1
W
20 Oct @ Wolves 1-1
D
24 Oct vs Millwall 2-1
W
31 Oct @ Burnley 0-0
D
03 Nov vs Swansea 3-1
W
07 Nov vs Stoke City 1-2
L

Away Crest Southampton

14 Oct @ Norwich 0-1
W
17 Oct vs Bolton 0-0
D
24 Oct @ West Ham 2-3
W
31 Oct vs QPR 4-1
W
03 Nov @ West Brom 1-1
D
07 Nov @ Preston 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.