Watford
L
L
L
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.35 - 1.55
Derby
L
W
L
W
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.28% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Watford vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Watford and Derby face each other in the match on at Vicarage Road . The two teams have met 14 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.71 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.64 goals.

In the last 10 matches Watford have scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 1.67 goals, while Derby scored 1.33 and conceded 1.67.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

H2H - Watford vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
13-03-2027 England Championship 2026 Watford - (HT -) Derby
28-11-2026 England Championship 2026 Derby - (HT -) Watford
21-02-2026 England Championship 2025 Watford 2-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
22-11-2025 England Championship 2025 Derby 2-3 (HT 1-0) Watford
18-01-2025 England Championship 2024 Derby 0-2 (HT 0-1) Watford
24-08-2024 England Championship 2024 Watford 2-1 (HT 1-1) Derby
19-02-2021 England Championship 2020 Watford 2-1 (HT 2-0) Derby
16-10-2020 England Championship 2020 Derby 0-1 (HT 0-0) Watford
03-04-2015 England Championship 2014 Derby 2-2 (HT 1-1) Watford
22-11-2014 England Championship 2014 Watford 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
26-04-2014 England Championship 2013 Derby 4-2 (HT 1-1) Watford
19-10-2013 England Championship 2013 Watford 2-3 (HT 1-2) Derby
23-02-2013 England Championship 2012 Watford 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
01-09-2012 England Championship 2012 Derby 5-1 (HT 3-0) Watford
10-03-2012 England Championship 2011 Derby 1-2 (HT 1-2) Watford
13-08-2011 England Championship 2011 Watford 0-1 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 13-03-2027
Watford
-
(HT -)
Derby
England Championship 28-11-2026
Derby
-
(HT -)
Watford
England Championship 21-02-2026
Watford
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Derby
England Championship 22-11-2025
Derby
2 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Watford
England Championship 18-01-2025
Derby
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Watford
England Championship 24-08-2024
Watford
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Derby
England Championship 19-02-2021
Watford
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Derby
England Championship 16-10-2020
Derby
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Watford
England Championship 03-04-2015
Derby
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Watford
England Championship 22-11-2014
Watford
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Derby
England Championship 26-04-2014
Derby
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Watford
England Championship 19-10-2013
Watford
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Derby
England Championship 23-02-2013
Watford
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Derby
England Championship 01-09-2012
Derby
5 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Watford
England Championship 10-03-2012
Derby
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Watford
England Championship 13-08-2011
Watford
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Derby