Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
3-0
(xG) 1.12 - 1.66
Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L

Mathematical Predictions: Arsenal vs Manchester City

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.66% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Arsenal team crest Arsenal Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Arsenal
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Hull City 1 O2.5 1-0
04 Nov 26 @ Slavia Praha 2 O2.5 1-2
01 Nov 26 @ Liverpool 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs Everton 1 O2.5 2-0
21 Oct 26 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2

Manchester City team crest Manchester City Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Manchester City
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Nottingham Forest 2 U2.5 3-1
04 Nov 26 @ RB Leipzig X O2.5 2-3
31 Oct 26 vs Brighton X O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 @ Aston Villa 2 O2.5 2-1
20 Oct 26 vs AEK Athens FC X O2.5 5-1

Arsenal vs Manchester City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Community Shield
TBA
In their previous 35 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.09 goals per match, compared to Manchester City 1.77 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Manchester City scored 2.00 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal vs Manchester City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.12 for Arsenal and 1.66 for Manchester City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.66%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Manchester City

29 Nov 26
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
16 Aug 26
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Manchester City
19 Apr 26
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
22 Mar 26
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
21 Sep 25
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
02 Feb 25
Arsenal
5 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
22 Sep 24
Manchester City
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Arsenal
31 Mar 24
Manchester City
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

21 Oct @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24 Oct vs Everton 2-0
W
27 Oct @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01 Nov @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04 Nov @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07 Nov vs Hull City 1-0
W

Away Crest Manchester City

20 Oct vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24 Oct @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28 Oct vs Brighton 2-2
D
31 Oct vs Brighton 0-1
L
04 Nov @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07 Nov @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.