England Premier League
Villa Park
Aston Villa
W W L D L D
1 - 1
xG 1.59 - 1.14
Fulham
L W W L D D

Mathematical Predictions: Aston Villa vs Fulham

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.32% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Aston Villa team crest Aston Villa Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Aston Villa
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Manchester United 1 O2.5 4-4
03 Nov 26 @ Barcelona 1 O2.5 3-0
31 Oct 26 vs Fulham 1 O2.5 1-1
28 Oct 26 @ Bournemouth 1 O2.5 3-0
24 Oct 26 vs Manchester City 2 O2.5 2-1

Fulham team crest Fulham Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fulham
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Newcastle X O2.5 1-1
31 Oct 26 @ Aston Villa 1 O2.5 1-1
28 Oct 26 vs Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 @ Coventry 1 O2.5 0-1
17 Oct 26 vs Hull City X O2.5 1-0

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.16
X 3.64
2 3.60
O 2.5 1.86
U 2.5 2.10
Betano
1 2.10
X 3.70
2 3.55
O 2.5 1.83
U 2.5 2.02
Dafabet
1 1.96
X 3.75
2 3.75
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Aston Villa vs Fulham

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Villa Park
In their previous 24 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.25 goals per match, compared to Fulham 1.08 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 1.17, whereas Fulham scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Fulham match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.59 for Aston Villa and 1.14 for Fulham. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.32%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Fulham

31 Oct 26
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Fulham
25 Apr 26
Fulham
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
28 Sep 25
Aston Villa
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Fulham
03 May 25
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fulham
19 Oct 24
Fulham
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
17 Feb 24
Fulham
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
12 Nov 23
Aston Villa
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Fulham
25 Apr 23
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fulham

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

21 Oct vs Viking 3-1
W
24 Oct vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28 Oct @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31 Oct vs Fulham 1-1
D
03 Nov @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08 Nov @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Away Crest Fulham

10 Oct @ Ipswich 2-1
L
17 Oct vs Hull City 1-0
W
24 Oct @ Coventry 0-1
W
28 Oct vs Crystal Palace 0-1
L
31 Oct @ Aston Villa 1-1
D
07 Nov vs Newcastle 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.