England Premier League
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
W W W W W W
2 - 0
xG 1.99 - 1.28
Leeds
D L D D L W

Mathematical Predictions: Bournemouth vs Leeds

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.36% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Bournemouth team crest Bournemouth Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bournemouth
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Ipswich X O2.5 1-2
05 Nov 26 @ Sparta Praha 1 O2.5 1-3
31 Oct 26 vs Leeds 1 O2.5 2-0
28 Oct 26 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 3-0
25 Oct 26 @ Manchester United X O2.5 0-3

Leeds team crest Leeds Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Leeds
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Tottenham 1 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 @ Bournemouth 1 O2.5 2-0
25 Oct 26 @ Sunderland X U2.5 0-0
18 Oct 26 vs Manchester United X O2.5 1-1
10 Oct 26 @ Arsenal 1 O2.5 2-1

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.16
X 3.56
2 3.70
O 2.5 1.94
U 2.5 2.00
Betano
1 2.12
X 3.35
2 3.55
O 2.5 1.90
U 2.5 1.95
Dafabet
1 2.17
X 3.40
2 3.50
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Bournemouth vs Leeds

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.11 goals per match, compared to Leeds 1.78 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 0.50, whereas Leeds scored 1.33 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Leeds match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.99 for Bournemouth and 1.28 for Leeds. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.36%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Leeds

31 Oct 26
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
22 Apr 26
Bournemouth
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
27 Sep 25
Leeds
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
30 Apr 23
Bournemouth
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Leeds
05 Nov 22
Leeds
4 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Bournemouth
20 Jan 15
Leeds
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
16 Sep 14
Bournemouth
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
25 Mar 14
Bournemouth
4 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Leeds

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22 Oct vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25 Oct @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28 Oct vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31 Oct vs Leeds 2-0
W
05 Nov @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08 Nov @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Leeds

20 Sep vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10 Oct @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18 Oct vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25 Oct @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31 Oct @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07 Nov vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.