Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry
W W L L W L
3 - 1
xG 1.60 - 1.31
Sunderland
D D W L L W

Mathematical Predictions: Coventry vs Sunderland

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.51% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Coventry team crest Coventry Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Coventry
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Everton 1 U2.5 3-1
31 Oct 26 vs Sunderland 1 O2.5 3-1
24 Oct 26 vs Fulham 1 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 @ Tottenham 1 O2.5 3-1
12 Oct 26 vs Newcastle X O2.5 4-1

Sunderland team crest Sunderland Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sunderland
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Chelsea 2 O2.5 1-0
05 Nov 26 vs Dinamo Zagreb X U2.5 0-2
31 Oct 26 @ Coventry 1 O2.5 3-1
28 Oct 26 vs Brentford 2 O2.5 3-2
25 Oct 26 vs Leeds X U2.5 0-0

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1 3.23
X 3.42
2 2.41
O 2.5 2.06
U 2.5 1.89
1 3.15
X 3.25
2 2.35
O 2.5 2.00
U 2.5 1.85
1 3.15
X 3.35
2 2.38
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Coventry vs Sunderland

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Coventry Building Society Arena
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Coventry scored an average of 1.78 goals per match, compared to Sunderland 0.78 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Coventry scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Sunderland scored 1.33 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Coventry vs Sunderland match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.60 for Coventry and 1.31 for Sunderland. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.51%.

H2H - Coventry vs. Sunderland

31 Oct 26
Coventry
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Sunderland
13 May 25
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Coventry
09 May 25
Coventry
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
15 Mar 25
Coventry
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Sunderland
09 Nov 24
Sunderland
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Coventry
23 Dec 23
Sunderland
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Coventry
26 Aug 23
Coventry
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
25 Feb 23
Coventry
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Coventry

19 Sep @ Nottingham Forest 0-1
W
12 Oct vs Newcastle 4-1
W
19 Oct @ Tottenham 3-1
L
24 Oct vs Fulham 0-1
L
31 Oct vs Sunderland 3-1
W
06 Nov @ Everton 3-1
L

Away Crest Sunderland

22 Oct @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25 Oct vs Leeds 0-0
D
28 Oct vs Brentford 3-2
W
31 Oct @ Coventry 3-1
L
05 Nov vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L
08 Nov vs Chelsea 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.