England Premier League
Anfield
Liverpool
W W D L L W
0 - 1
xG 1.68 - 1.46
Arsenal
D W D W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Liverpool vs Arsenal

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.74% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Liverpool team crest Liverpool Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Liverpool
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Crystal Palace X O2.5 1-3
04 Nov 26 @ Fenerbahçe X O2.5 3-2
01 Nov 26 vs Arsenal 1 O2.5 0-1
25 Oct 26 vs Brighton X O2.5 2-0
20 Oct 26 vs Villarreal 1 O2.5 4-3

Arsenal team crest Arsenal Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Arsenal
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Hull City 1 O2.5 1-0
04 Nov 26 @ Slavia Praha 2 O2.5 1-2
01 Nov 26 @ Liverpool 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs Everton 1 O2.5 2-0
21 Oct 26 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.88
X 3.48
2 2.63
O 2.5 1.90
U 2.5 2.04
Betano
1 2.82
X 3.40
2 2.47
O 2.5 1.85
U 2.5 2.00
Dafabet
1 2.90
X 3.45
2 2.48
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Liverpool vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Anfield
In their previous 34 head-to-head matches, Liverpool scored an average of 1.97 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.38 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Liverpool scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 1.33, whereas Arsenal scored 1.67 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Liverpool vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.68 for Liverpool and 1.46 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.74%.

H2H - Liverpool vs. Arsenal

01 Nov 26
Liverpool
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
08 Jan 26
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
31 Aug 25
Liverpool
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
11 May 25
Liverpool
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
27 Oct 24
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Liverpool
04 Feb 24
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Liverpool
07 Jan 24
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
23 Dec 23
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Liverpool

20 Oct vs Villarreal 4-3
W
25 Oct vs Brighton 2-0
W
28 Oct vs Chelsea 1-1
D
01 Nov vs Arsenal 0-1
L
04 Nov @ Fenerbahce 3-2
L
08 Nov @ Crystal Palace 1-3
W

Away Crest Arsenal

21 Oct @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24 Oct vs Everton 2-0
W
27 Oct @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01 Nov @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04 Nov @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07 Nov vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.