TBA
Newcastle
L L W L L D
0 - 1
xG 1.32 - 1.59
Everton
D L L W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Newcastle vs Everton

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.66% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Newcastle team crest Newcastle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Newcastle
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Fulham X O2.5 1-1
02 Nov 26 vs Everton 2 O2.5 0-1
29 Oct 26 @ Everton X U2.5 3-1
25 Oct 26 @ Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 0-1

Everton team crest Everton Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Everton
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 vs Coventry 1 U2.5 3-1
02 Nov 26 @ Newcastle 2 O2.5 0-1
29 Oct 26 vs Newcastle X U2.5 3-1
24 Oct 26 @ Arsenal 1 O2.5 2-0
17 Oct 26 vs Chelsea 1 O2.5 0-2

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1 2.20
X 3.70
2 3.43
O 2.5 1.77
U 2.5 2.22
1 2.18
X 3.50
2 3.25
O 2.5 1.72
U 2.5 2.18
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Newcastle vs Everton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.24 goals per match, compared to Everton 1.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.50, whereas Everton scored 1.67 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Newcastle vs Everton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.32 for Newcastle and 1.59 for Everton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.66%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Everton

02 Nov 26
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Everton
29 Oct 26
Everton
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
12 Aug 26
Newcastle
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Everton
28 Feb 26
Newcastle
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Everton
29 Nov 25
Everton
1 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Newcastle
25 May 25
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Everton
05 Oct 24
Everton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
02 Apr 24
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Everton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

12 Oct @ Coventry 4-1
L
17 Oct vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25 Oct @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29 Oct @ Everton 3-1
L
02 Nov vs Everton 0-1
L
07 Nov @ Fulham 1-1
D

Away Crest Everton

11 Oct @ Hull City 2-2
D
17 Oct vs Chelsea 0-2
L
24 Oct @ Arsenal 2-0
L
29 Oct vs Newcastle 3-1
W
02 Nov @ Newcastle 0-1
W
06 Nov vs Coventry 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.