Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
D W D W W W
1 - 0
xG 2.11 - 0.61
Hull City
L D L D D L

Mathematical Predictions: Arsenal vs Hull City

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.23% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Arsenal team crest Arsenal Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Arsenal
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Hull City 1 O2.5 1-0
04 Nov 26 @ Slavia Praha 2 O2.5 1-2
01 Nov 26 @ Liverpool 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs Everton 1 O2.5 2-0
21 Oct 26 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2

Hull City team crest Hull City Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Hull City
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Arsenal 1 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs Ipswich 1 O2.5 2-2
25 Oct 26 vs Brentford 2 O2.5 1-1
17 Oct 26 @ Fulham X O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 vs Everton X U2.5 2-2

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1 1.18
X 8.40
2 19.00
O 2.5 1.52
U 2.5 2.54
1 1.18
X 6.90
2 17.00
O 2.5 1.53
U 2.5 2.60
1 1.17
X 7.80
2 17.00
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Arsenal vs Hull City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 2.43 goals per match, compared to Hull City 0.57 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.33, whereas Hull City scored 0.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal vs Hull City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.11 for Arsenal and 0.61 for Hull City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.23%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Hull City

07 Nov 26
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Hull City
11 Feb 17
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Hull City
17 Sep 16
Hull City
1 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
04 May 15
Hull City
1 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Arsenal
18 Oct 14
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Hull City
20 Apr 14
Hull City
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
04 Dec 13
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Hull City

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

21 Oct @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24 Oct vs Everton 2-0
W
27 Oct @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01 Nov @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04 Nov @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07 Nov vs Hull City 1-0
W

Away Crest Hull City

19 Sep @ Newcastle 2-1
L
11 Oct vs Everton 2-2
D
17 Oct @ Fulham 1-0
L
25 Oct vs Brentford 1-1
D
31 Oct vs Ipswich 2-2
D
07 Nov @ Arsenal 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.