England Premier League
Craven Cottage
Fulham
L W W L D D
1 - 1
xG 1.46 - 1.33
Newcastle
L L W L L D

Mathematical Predictions: Fulham vs Newcastle

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.82% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fulham team crest Fulham Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fulham
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Newcastle X O2.5 1-1
31 Oct 26 @ Aston Villa 1 O2.5 1-1
28 Oct 26 vs Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 @ Coventry 1 O2.5 0-1
17 Oct 26 vs Hull City X O2.5 1-0

Newcastle team crest Newcastle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Newcastle
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Fulham X O2.5 1-1
02 Nov 26 vs Everton 2 O2.5 0-1
29 Oct 26 @ Everton X U2.5 3-1
25 Oct 26 @ Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 0-1

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.16
X 3.88
2 3.39
O 2.5 1.71
U 2.5 2.32
Betano
1 2.07
X 3.70
2 3.35
O 2.5 1.67
U 2.5 2.27
Dafabet
1 2.11
X 3.70
2 3.40
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Fulham vs Newcastle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Craven Cottage
In their previous 25 head-to-head matches, Fulham scored an average of 1.04 goals per match, compared to Newcastle 1.32 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fulham scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Newcastle scored 1.33 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fulham vs Newcastle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.46 for Fulham and 1.33 for Newcastle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.82%.

H2H - Fulham vs. Newcastle

07 Nov 26
Fulham
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
24 May 26
Fulham
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
17 Dec 25
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Fulham
25 Oct 25
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Fulham
01 Feb 25
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Fulham
21 Sep 24
Fulham
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
06 Apr 24
Fulham
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
27 Jan 24
Fulham
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fulham

10 Oct @ Ipswich 2-1
L
17 Oct vs Hull City 1-0
W
24 Oct @ Coventry 0-1
W
28 Oct vs Crystal Palace 0-1
L
31 Oct @ Aston Villa 1-1
D
07 Nov vs Newcastle 1-1
D

Away Crest Newcastle

12 Oct @ Coventry 4-1
L
17 Oct vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25 Oct @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29 Oct @ Everton 3-1
L
02 Nov vs Everton 0-1
L
07 Nov @ Fulham 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.