England Premier League
City Ground
Nottingham Forest
L L L D L W
3 - 1
xG 0.58 - 1.80
Manchester City
W L D L W L

Mathematical Predictions: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 57.73% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Nottingham Forest team crest Nottingham Forest Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Nottingham Forest
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Manchester City 2 U2.5 3-1
31 Oct 26 @ Brentford 1 O2.5 2-0
23 Oct 26 @ Ipswich 1 O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 vs Arsenal 2 U2.5 0-1
11 Oct 26 @ Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 3-1

Manchester City team crest Manchester City Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Manchester City
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Nottingham Forest 2 U2.5 3-1
04 Nov 26 @ RB Leipzig X O2.5 2-3
31 Oct 26 vs Brighton X O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 @ Aston Villa 2 O2.5 2-1
20 Oct 26 vs AEK Athens FC X O2.5 5-1

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 4.58
X 4.26
2 1.78
O 2.5 1.70
U 2.5 2.34
Betano
1 4.60
X 4.00
2 1.72
O 2.5 1.67
U 2.5 2.27
Dafabet
1 4.60
X 4.00
2 1.74
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
City Ground
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 0.80 goals per match, compared to Manchester City 2.10 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 0.33 and conceded 0.83, whereas Manchester City scored 2.33 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.58 for Nottingham Forest and 1.80 for Manchester City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.73%.

H2H - Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City

07 Nov 26
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Manchester City
04 Mar 26
Manchester City
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
27 Dec 25
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
27 Apr 25
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
08 Mar 25
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
04 Dec 24
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest
28 Apr 24
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
23 Sep 23
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Nottingham Forest

19 Sep vs Coventry 0-1
L
11 Oct @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18 Oct vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23 Oct @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31 Oct @ Brentford 2-0
L
07 Nov vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Away Crest Manchester City

20 Oct vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24 Oct @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28 Oct vs Brighton 2-2
D
31 Oct vs Brighton 0-1
L
04 Nov @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07 Nov @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.