Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
-
(xG) 2.12 - 1.15
Sunderland
D
D
W
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.36% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 1.78
X 4.16
2 4.72
O 2.5 1.81
U 2.5 2.15
Betano
1 1.80
X 3.75
2 4.40
O 2.5 1.82
U 2.5 2.05
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Aston Villa vs Sunderland

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Villa Park
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.69 goals per match, compared to Sunderland 0.94 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Sunderland scored 1.33 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Sunderland match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.12 for Aston Villa and 1.15 for Sunderland. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.36%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Sunderland

06-02-2027
Sunderland
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
21-11-2026
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Sunderland
19-04-2026
Aston Villa
4 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Sunderland
21-09-2025
Sunderland
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
06-03-2018
Sunderland
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Aston Villa
21-11-2017
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
02-01-2016
Sunderland
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
29-08-2015
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Sunderland
14-03-2015
Sunderland
0 - 4
(HT 0-4)
Aston Villa
28-12-2014
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
01-01-2014
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
30-11-2013
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
29-04-2013
Aston Villa
6 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Sunderland
03-11-2012
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
21-04-2012
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
29-10-2011
Sunderland
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
05-01-2011
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
23-10-2010
Sunderland
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Away Crest Sunderland

22.10 @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25.10 vs Leeds 0-0
D
28.10 vs Brentford 3-2
W
31.10 @ Coventry 3-1
L
05.11 vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L
08.11 vs Chelsea 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.