Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.88 - 0.70
Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.26% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.01
X 3.86
2 3.86
O 2.5 1.87
U 2.5 2.08
Betano
1 2.02
X 3.55
2 3.70
O 2.5 1.83
U 2.5 2.02
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.81 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 0.94 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.88 for Bournemouth and 0.70 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.26%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest

23-01-2027
Nottingham Forest
-
(HT -)
Bournemouth
21-11-2026
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
24-05-2026
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
26-10-2025
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest
25-01-2025
Bournemouth
5 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
17-08-2024
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
04-02-2024
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Nottingham Forest
23-12-2023
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
21-01-2023
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
03-09-2022
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
03-05-2022
Bournemouth
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
14-08-2021
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
13-02-2021
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
24-11-2020
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
25-02-2015
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Bournemouth
19-08-2014
Bournemouth
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
26-04-2014
Bournemouth
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
19-10-2013
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.