Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
-
(xG) 2.36 - 1.48
Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 73.86% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 1.88
X 4.01
2 4.26
O 2.5 1.81
U 2.5 2.15
Betano
1 1.83
X 3.75
2 4.20
O 2.5 1.78
U 2.5 2.10
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Chelsea vs Leeds

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Stamford Bridge
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Chelsea scored an average of 2.09 goals per match, compared to Leeds 1.45 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Chelsea scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Leeds scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Chelsea vs Leeds match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.36 for Chelsea and 1.48 for Leeds. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 73.86%.

H2H - Chelsea vs. Leeds

23-01-2027
Leeds
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
21-11-2026
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Leeds
09-09-2026
Chelsea
6 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Leeds
26-04-2026
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
10-02-2026
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
03-12-2025
Leeds
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
28-02-2024
Chelsea
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Leeds
04-03-2023
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
21-08-2022
Leeds
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
11-05-2022
Leeds
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
11-12-2021
Chelsea
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Leeds
13-03-2021
Leeds
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
05-12-2020
Chelsea
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Leeds

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Away Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.