Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.15 - 1.47
Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.40% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 5.65
X 4.42
2 1.63
O 2.5 1.76
U 2.5 2.23
Betano
1 5.10
X 4.10
2 1.65
O 2.5 1.70
U 2.5 2.20
Updated 2026-11-05 21:06:56

Newcastle vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
TBA
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 0.79 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.73 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Newcastle vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.15 for Newcastle and 1.47 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.40%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Arsenal

23-01-2027
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
21-11-2026
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
25-04-2026
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
28-09-2025
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
27-07-2025
Arsenal
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Newcastle
18-05-2025
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
05-02-2025
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
07-01-2025
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
02-11-2024
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
24-02-2024
Arsenal
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
04-11-2023
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
07-05-2023
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
03-01-2023
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
16-05-2022
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
27-11-2021
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
02-05-2021
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
18-01-2021
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
16-02-2020
Arsenal
4 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
11-08-2019
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
01-04-2019
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
15-09-2018
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
15-04-2018
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
16-12-2017
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
02-01-2016
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
29-08-2015
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
21-03-2015
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
13-12-2014
Arsenal
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
28-04-2014
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
29-12-2013
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
19-05-2013
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
29-12-2012
Arsenal
7 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
12-03-2012
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
13-08-2011
Newcastle
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
05-02-2011
Newcastle
4 - 4
(HT 0-4)
Arsenal
07-11-2010
Arsenal
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Away Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.