Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
-
(xG) 1.57 - 1.27
Everton
D
L
L
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.87% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Aston Villa vs Everton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Villa Park
In their previous 27 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.37 goals per match, compared to Everton 1.30 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Everton scored 1.33 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Everton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.57 for Aston Villa and 1.27 for Everton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.87%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Everton

05-01-2027
Everton
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
02-12-2026
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Everton
18-01-2026
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Everton
13-09-2025
Everton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
15-01-2025
Everton
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
14-09-2024
Aston Villa
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Everton
14-01-2024
Everton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
27-09-2023
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Everton
20-08-2023
Aston Villa
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Everton
25-02-2023
Everton
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
13-08-2022
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Everton
22-01-2022
Everton
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
18-09-2021
Aston Villa
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Everton
13-05-2021
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Everton
01-05-2021
Everton
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
16-07-2020
Everton
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
23-08-2019
Aston Villa
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Everton
01-03-2016
Aston Villa
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Everton
21-11-2015
Everton
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Aston Villa
02-05-2015
Aston Villa
3 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Everton
18-10-2014
Everton
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
01-02-2014
Everton
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
26-10-2013
Aston Villa
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Everton
02-02-2013
Everton
3 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Aston Villa
25-08-2012
Aston Villa
1 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Everton
14-01-2012
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Everton
10-09-2011
Everton
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
02-04-2011
Everton
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
29-08-2010
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Everton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Away Crest Everton

11.10 @ Hull City 2-2
D
17.10 vs Chelsea 0-2
L
24.10 @ Arsenal 2-0
L
29.10 vs Newcastle 3-1
W
02.11 @ Newcastle 0-1
W
06.11 vs Coventry 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.