Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.56 - 1.74
Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.99% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Prediction Track Records

Bournemouth team crest Bournemouth Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Bournemouth
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under FT
08.11.2026 @ Ipswich X O2.5 1-2
05.11.2026 @ Sparta Praha 1 O2.5 1-3
31.10.2026 vs Leeds 1 O2.5 2-0
28.10.2026 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 3-0
25.10.2026 @ Manchester United X O2.5 0-3

Brighton team crest Brighton Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Brighton
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under FT
08.11.2026 vs Brentford 1 O2.5 2-0
05.11.2026 @ Getafe X U2.5 0-1
31.10.2026 @ Manchester City X O2.5 0-1
25.10.2026 @ Liverpool X O2.5 2-0
22.10.2026 @ FK Jablonec X U2.5 0-0

Bournemouth vs Brighton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to Brighton 1.22 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 0.83, whereas Brighton scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Brighton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.56 for Bournemouth and 1.74 for Brighton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.99%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Brighton

02-12-2026
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Brighton
19-01-2026
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
13-09-2025
Bournemouth
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
25-02-2025
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
23-11-2024
Bournemouth
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
28-04-2024
Bournemouth
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
24-09-2023
Brighton
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
04-04-2023
Bournemouth
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.