Brentford
D
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.58 - 1.07
Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 50.62% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brentford vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Brentford Community Stadium
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Brentford scored an average of 0.73 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.55 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brentford scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brentford vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Brentford and 1.07 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.62%.

H2H - Brentford vs. Arsenal

05-01-2027
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Brentford
02-12-2026
Brentford
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
12-02-2026
Brentford
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
03-12-2025
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
12-04-2025
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
01-01-2025
Brentford
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
09-03-2024
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brentford
25-11-2023
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
27-09-2023
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
11-02-2023
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
18-09-2022
Brentford
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
19-02-2022
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
13-08-2021
Brentford
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brentford

10.10 @ Aston Villa 2-2
D
17.10 vs Liverpool 1-2
L
25.10 @ Hull City 1-1
D
28.10 @ Sunderland 3-2
L
31.10 vs Nottingham Forest 2-0
W
08.11 @ Brighton 2-0
L

Away Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.