Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.58 - 1.35
Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.97% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Newcastle vs Manchester United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
TBA
In their previous 31 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.23 goals per match, compared to Manchester United 1.71 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Manchester United scored 0.83 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Newcastle vs Manchester United match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Newcastle and 1.35 for Manchester United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.97%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Manchester United

07-01-2027
Manchester United
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
02-12-2026
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
04-03-2026
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
26-12-2025
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
13-04-2025
Newcastle
4 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
30-12-2024
Manchester United
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Newcastle
15-05-2024
Manchester United
3 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
02-12-2023
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
01-11-2023
Manchester United
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Newcastle
02-04-2023
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
16-10-2022
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
27-12-2021
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
11-09-2021
Manchester United
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
21-02-2021
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
17-10-2020
Newcastle
1 - 4
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
26-12-2019
Manchester United
4 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Newcastle
06-10-2019
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
02-01-2019
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
06-10-2018
Manchester United
3 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Newcastle
11-02-2018
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
18-11-2017
Manchester United
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Newcastle
12-01-2016
Newcastle
3 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Manchester United
22-08-2015
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
04-03-2015
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
26-12-2014
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
05-04-2014
Newcastle
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
07-12-2013
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
26-12-2012
Manchester United
4 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Newcastle
07-10-2012
Newcastle
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
04-01-2012
Newcastle
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
26-11-2011
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
19-04-2011
Newcastle
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
16-08-2010
Manchester United
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Away Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.