Aston Villa
W
W
W
L
D
L
-
(xG) 1.83 - 1.17
Crystal Palace
L
D
L
W
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 57.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Villa Park
In their previous 22 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Crystal Palace 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Crystal Palace scored 0.83 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.83 for Aston Villa and 1.17 for Crystal Palace. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.68%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace

01-05-2027
Crystal Palace
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
05-12-2026
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Crystal Palace
07-01-2026
Crystal Palace
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
31-08-2025
Aston Villa
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Crystal Palace
26-04-2025
Crystal Palace
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
25-02-2025
Crystal Palace
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
23-11-2024
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Crystal Palace
30-10-2024
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Crystal Palace
19-05-2024
Crystal Palace
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
16-09-2023
Aston Villa
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Crystal Palace
04-03-2023
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Crystal Palace
20-08-2022
Crystal Palace
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
15-05-2022
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Crystal Palace
27-11-2021
Crystal Palace
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
16-05-2021
Crystal Palace
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Aston Villa
26-12-2020
Aston Villa
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Crystal Palace
12-07-2020
Aston Villa
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Crystal Palace
31-08-2019
Crystal Palace
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
12-01-2016
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Crystal Palace
22-08-2015
Crystal Palace
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
01-01-2015
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Crystal Palace
02-12-2014
Crystal Palace
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
12-04-2014
Crystal Palace
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
26-12-2013
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Crystal Palace

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

17.10 @ Newcastle 0-1
W
21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L

Away Crest Crystal Palace

18.10 @ Brighton 5-0
L
22.10 @ Besiktas 2-2
D
25.10 vs Newcastle 0-2
L
28.10 @ Fulham 0-1
W
31.10 @ Tottenham 2-0
L
05.11 vs 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.