Brentford
W
D
L
D
L
W
-
(xG) 1.55 - 1.32
Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.73% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brentford vs Manchester City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Brentford Community Stadium
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Brentford scored an average of 0.64 goals per match, compared to Manchester City 1.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brentford scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Manchester City scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brentford vs Manchester City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.55 for Brentford and 1.32 for Manchester City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.73%.

H2H - Brentford vs. Manchester City

01-05-2027
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Brentford
05-12-2026
Brentford
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
09-05-2026
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
17-12-2025
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
05-10-2025
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
14-01-2025
Brentford
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
14-09-2024
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Brentford
20-02-2024
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
05-02-2024
Brentford
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
28-05-2023
Brentford
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
12-11-2022
Manchester City
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brentford
09-02-2022
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
29-12-2021
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brentford

18.09 vs Chelsea 3-0
W
10.10 @ Aston Villa 2-2
D
17.10 vs Liverpool 1-2
L
25.10 @ Hull City 1-1
D
28.10 @ Sunderland 3-2
L
31.10 vs Nottingham Forest 2-0
W

Away Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.