Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
-
(xG) 1.91 - 1.92
Liverpool
W
W
D
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 73.59% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Chelsea vs Liverpool

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Stamford Bridge
In their previous 35 head-to-head matches, Chelsea scored an average of 1.06 goals per match, compared to Liverpool 1.43 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Chelsea scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Liverpool scored 2.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Chelsea vs Liverpool match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.91 for Chelsea and 1.92 for Liverpool. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 73.59%.

H2H - Chelsea vs. Liverpool

01-05-2027
Liverpool
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
05-12-2026
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Liverpool
28-10-2026
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
09-05-2026
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
04-10-2025
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
04-05-2025
Chelsea
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
20-10-2024
Liverpool
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
25-02-2024
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
31-01-2024
Liverpool
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
13-08-2023
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Liverpool
04-04-2023
Chelsea
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
21-01-2023
Liverpool
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
14-05-2022
Chelsea
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
02-01-2022
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 2-2)
Liverpool
28-08-2021
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
04-03-2021
Liverpool
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
20-09-2020
Chelsea
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
22-07-2020
Liverpool
5 - 3
(HT 3-1)
Chelsea
22-09-2019
Chelsea
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Liverpool
14-04-2019
Liverpool
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
29-09-2018
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
06-05-2018
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
25-11-2017
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
31-01-2017
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
16-09-2016
Chelsea
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Liverpool
11-05-2016
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
31-10-2015
Chelsea
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Liverpool
10-05-2015
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Liverpool
08-11-2014
Liverpool
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
27-04-2014
Liverpool
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
29-12-2013
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Liverpool
21-04-2013
Liverpool
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
11-11-2012
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
08-05-2012
Liverpool
4 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Chelsea
20-11-2011
Chelsea
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
06-02-2011
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
07-11-2010
Liverpool
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Away Crest Liverpool

20.10 vs Villarreal 4-3
W
25.10 vs Brighton 2-0
W
28.10 vs Chelsea 1-1
D
01.11 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
04.11 @ Fenerbahce 3-2
L
08.11 @ Crystal Palace 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.