Newcastle
W
L
L
W
L
L
-
(xG) 1.56 - 1.41
Sunderland
L
D
D
W
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 56.93% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Newcastle vs Sunderland

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Sunderland 1.40 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Sunderland scored 1.33 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.56 for Newcastle and 1.41 for Sunderland. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.93%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Sunderland

01-05-2027
Sunderland
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
06-12-2026
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Sunderland
22-03-2026
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
14-12-2025
Sunderland
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
06-01-2024
Sunderland
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
20-03-2016
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
25-10-2015
Sunderland
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
05-04-2015
Sunderland
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
21-12-2014
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
01-02-2014
Newcastle
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Sunderland
27-10-2013
Sunderland
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
14-04-2013
Newcastle
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
21-10-2012
Sunderland
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
04-03-2012
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
20-08-2011
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
16-01-2011
Sunderland
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
31-10-2010
Newcastle
5 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Sunderland

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

19.09 vs Hull City 2-1
W
12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L

Away Crest Sunderland

18.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
22.10 @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25.10 vs Leeds 0-0
D
28.10 vs Brentford 3-2
W
31.10 @ Coventry 3-1
L
05.11 vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.