Liverpool
W
W
D
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.72 - 0.75
Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 55.10% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Liverpool vs Leeds

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Anfield
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Liverpool scored an average of 3.00 goals per match, compared to Leeds 1.25 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Liverpool scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 1.17, whereas Leeds scored 0.50 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Liverpool vs Leeds match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.72 for Liverpool and 0.75 for Leeds. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.10%.

H2H - Liverpool vs. Leeds

24-04-2027
Leeds
-
(HT -)
Liverpool
12-12-2026
Liverpool
-
(HT -)
Leeds
01-01-2026
Liverpool
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
06-12-2025
Leeds
3 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
17-04-2023
Leeds
1 - 6
(HT 0-2)
Liverpool
29-10-2022
Liverpool
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Leeds
23-02-2022
Liverpool
6 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Leeds
12-09-2021
Leeds
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
19-04-2021
Leeds
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
12-09-2020
Liverpool
4 - 3
(HT 3-2)
Leeds

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Liverpool

20.10 vs Villarreal 4-3
W
25.10 vs Brighton 2-0
W
28.10 vs Chelsea 1-1
D
01.11 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
04.11 @ Fenerbahce 3-2
L
08.11 @ Crystal Palace 1-3
W

Away Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.