Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 2.08 - 1.56
Chelsea
L
W
W
L
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 70.43% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Manchester City vs Chelsea

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Etihad Stadium
In their previous 36 head-to-head matches, Manchester City scored an average of 1.56 goals per match, compared to Chelsea 0.86 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester City scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 2.17, whereas Chelsea scored 1.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester City vs Chelsea match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.08 for Manchester City and 1.56 for Chelsea. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.43%.

H2H - Manchester City vs. Chelsea

24-04-2027
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
12-12-2026
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
16-05-2026
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
12-04-2026
Chelsea
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
04-01-2026
Manchester City
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
25-01-2025
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
18-08-2024
Chelsea
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
20-04-2024
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
17-02-2024
Manchester City
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
12-11-2023
Chelsea
4 - 4
(HT 2-2)
Manchester City
21-05-2023
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
08-01-2023
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Chelsea
05-01-2023
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
15-01-2022
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
25-09-2021
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
29-05-2021
Manchester City
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
08-05-2021
Manchester City
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
03-01-2021
Chelsea
1 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Manchester City
25-06-2020
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
23-11-2019
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Chelsea
10-02-2019
Manchester City
6 - 0
(HT 4-0)
Chelsea
08-12-2018
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
04-03-2018
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
30-09-2017
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
05-04-2017
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Manchester City
03-12-2016
Manchester City
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
16-04-2016
Chelsea
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
16-08-2015
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
31-01-2015
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
21-09-2014
Manchester City
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
03-02-2014
Manchester City
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
27-10-2013
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
24-02-2013
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
25-11-2012
Chelsea
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
21-03-2012
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
12-12-2011
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
20-03-2011
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
25-09-2010
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Away Crest Chelsea

18.09 @ Brentford 3-0
L
10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.