Arsenal
W
D
W
D
W
W
-
(xG) 2.20 - 1.13
Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 64.77% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Arsenal vs Bournemouth

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 2.28 goals per match, compared to Bournemouth 1.06 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.33, whereas Bournemouth scored 2.00 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.20 for Arsenal and 1.13 for Bournemouth. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.77%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Bournemouth

24-04-2027
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
13-12-2026
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Bournemouth
11-04-2026
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
03-01-2026
Bournemouth
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
03-05-2025
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
19-10-2024
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
04-05-2024
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
30-09-2023
Bournemouth
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
04-03-2023
Arsenal
3 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
20-08-2022
Bournemouth
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
26-12-2019
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
06-10-2019
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
27-02-2019
Arsenal
5 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Bournemouth
25-11-2018
Bournemouth
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
14-01-2018
Bournemouth
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
09-09-2017
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
03-01-2017
Bournemouth
3 - 3
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
27-11-2016
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
07-02-2016
Bournemouth
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
28-12-2015
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

18.10 @ Nottingham Forest 0-1
W
21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W

Away Crest Bournemouth

18.10 vs Sunderland 2-0
W
22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.