Coventry
L
W
W
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.39 - 2.22
Aston Villa
W
W
W
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 69.92% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Coventry vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Coventry Building Society Arena
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Coventry scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 3.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Coventry scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 2.00, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.39 for Coventry and 2.22 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.92%.

H2H - Coventry vs. Aston Villa

24-04-2027
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Coventry
13-12-2026
Coventry
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
16-09-2026
Coventry
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Coventry

16.09 vs Aston Villa 1-3
L
19.09 @ Nottingham Forest 0-1
W
12.10 vs Newcastle 4-1
W
19.10 @ Tottenham 3-1
L
24.10 vs Fulham 0-1
L
31.10 vs Sunderland 3-1
W

Away Crest Aston Villa

17.10 @ Newcastle 0-1
W
21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.