Sunderland
L
D
D
W
L
L
-
(xG) 0.94 - 1.28
Nottingham Forest
W
L
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 61.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadium of Light
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Sunderland scored an average of 0.50 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sunderland scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 1.33, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.94 for Sunderland and 1.28 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.68%.

H2H - Sunderland vs. Nottingham Forest

24-04-2027
Nottingham Forest
-
(HT -)
Sunderland
13-12-2026
Sunderland
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
24-04-2026
Sunderland
0 - 5
(HT 0-4)
Nottingham Forest
27-09-2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
30-12-2017
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
12-09-2017
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sunderland

18.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
22.10 @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25.10 vs Leeds 0-0
D
28.10 vs Brentford 3-2
W
31.10 @ Coventry 3-1
L
05.11 vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

12.09 @ Aston Villa 1-2
W
19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.