Arsenal
W
D
W
D
W
W
-
(xG) 1.96 - 0.84
Manchester United
L
D
L
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.19% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Arsenal vs Manchester United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.39 goals per match, compared to Manchester United 1.36 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.33, whereas Manchester United scored 0.83 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.96 for Arsenal and 0.84 for Manchester United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.19%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Manchester United

27-02-2027
Manchester United
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
20-12-2026
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
25-01-2026
Arsenal
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
17-08-2025
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
09-03-2025
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
12-01-2025
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
04-12-2024
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
12-05-2024
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
03-09-2023
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
22-01-2023
Arsenal
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
04-09-2022
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
23-04-2022
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Manchester United
02-12-2021
Manchester United
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
30-01-2021
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
01-11-2020
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
01-01-2020
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Manchester United
30-09-2019
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
10-03-2019
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
05-12-2018
Manchester United
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
29-04-2018
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
02-12-2017
Arsenal
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
07-05-2017
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
19-11-2016
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
28-02-2016
Manchester United
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
04-10-2015
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Manchester United
17-05-2015
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
22-11-2014
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
12-02-2014
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
10-11-2013
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
28-04-2013
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
03-11-2012
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
22-01-2012
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
28-08-2011
Manchester United
8 - 2
(HT 3-1)
Arsenal
01-05-2011
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
13-12-2010
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

18.10 @ Nottingham Forest 0-1
W
21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W

Away Crest Manchester United

13.10 @ Atletico Madrid 2-0
L
18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.