Chelsea
L
W
W
L
D
W
-
(xG) 2.37 - 1.51
Aston Villa
W
W
W
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 74.43% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Chelsea vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stamford Bridge
In their previous 28 head-to-head matches, Chelsea scored an average of 2.11 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 1.04 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Chelsea scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.37 for Chelsea and 1.51 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 74.43%.

H2H - Chelsea vs. Aston Villa

27-02-2027
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
21-12-2026
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
04-03-2026
Aston Villa
1 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Chelsea
27-12-2025
Chelsea
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
22-02-2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
01-12-2024
Chelsea
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
27-04-2024
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
07-02-2024
Aston Villa
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Chelsea
26-01-2024
Chelsea
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
24-09-2023
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
01-04-2023
Chelsea
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
16-10-2022
Aston Villa
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
26-12-2021
Aston Villa
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
11-09-2021
Chelsea
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
23-05-2021
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
28-12-2020
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
21-06-2020
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
04-12-2019
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
02-04-2016
Aston Villa
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Chelsea
17-10-2015
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
07-02-2015
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
27-09-2014
Chelsea
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
15-03-2014
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
21-08-2013
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
11-05-2013
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
23-12-2012
Chelsea
8 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Aston Villa
31-03-2012
Aston Villa
2 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
31-12-2011
Chelsea
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
02-01-2011
Chelsea
3 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
16-10-2010
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Chelsea

18.09 @ Brentford 3-0
L
10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W

Away Crest Aston Villa

17.10 @ Newcastle 0-1
W
21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.