Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
-
(xG) 1.87 - 1.18
Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 58.91% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Aston Villa vs Leeds

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Villa Park
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.29 goals per match, compared to Leeds 1.21 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Leeds scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Leeds match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.87 for Aston Villa and 1.18 for Leeds. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.91%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Leeds

20-02-2027
Leeds
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
26-12-2026
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Leeds
21-02-2026
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Leeds
23-11-2025
Leeds
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
13-01-2023
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
02-10-2022
Leeds
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
10-03-2022
Leeds
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
09-02-2022
Aston Villa
3 - 3
(HT 3-2)
Leeds
27-02-2021
Leeds
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
23-10-2020
Aston Villa
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
28-04-2019
Leeds
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
23-12-2018
Aston Villa
2 - 3
(HT 2-0)
Leeds
13-04-2018
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
01-12-2017
Leeds
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
29-12-2016
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
03-12-2016
Leeds
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Away Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.