Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
-
(xG) 1.75 - 1.92
Liverpool
W
W
D
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 70.81% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Aston Villa vs Liverpool

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Villa Park
In their previous 25 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.24 goals per match, compared to Liverpool 2.08 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Liverpool scored 2.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Liverpool match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.75 for Aston Villa and 1.92 for Liverpool. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.81%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Liverpool

03-03-2027
Liverpool
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
30-12-2026
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Liverpool
15-05-2026
Aston Villa
4 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
01-11-2025
Liverpool
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
19-02-2025
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Liverpool
09-11-2024
Liverpool
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
13-05-2024
Aston Villa
3 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Liverpool
03-09-2023
Liverpool
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
20-05-2023
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
26-12-2022
Aston Villa
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Liverpool
10-05-2022
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Liverpool
11-12-2021
Liverpool
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
10-04-2021
Liverpool
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
04-10-2020
Aston Villa
7 - 2
(HT 4-1)
Liverpool
05-07-2020
Liverpool
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
02-11-2019
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
14-02-2016
Aston Villa
0 - 6
(HT 0-2)
Liverpool
26-09-2015
Liverpool
3 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
17-01-2015
Aston Villa
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
13-09-2014
Liverpool
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
18-01-2014
Liverpool
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Aston Villa
24-08-2013
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
31-03-2013
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
15-12-2012
Liverpool
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Aston Villa
07-04-2012
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
18-12-2011
Aston Villa
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Liverpool
06-12-2010
Liverpool
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Away Crest Liverpool

20.10 vs Villarreal 4-3
W
25.10 vs Brighton 2-0
W
28.10 vs Chelsea 1-1
D
01.11 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
04.11 @ Fenerbahce 3-2
L
08.11 @ Crystal Palace 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.