Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
-
(xG) 1.63 - 0.92
Sunderland
D
D
W
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.96% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Manchester United vs Sunderland

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Old Trafford
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Manchester United scored an average of 1.56 goals per match, compared to Sunderland 0.44 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester United scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 2.17, whereas Sunderland scored 1.50 and conceded 2.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester United vs Sunderland match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.63 for Manchester United and 0.92 for Sunderland. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.96%.

H2H - Manchester United vs. Sunderland

03-03-2027
Sunderland
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
30-12-2026
Manchester United
-
(HT -)
Sunderland
09-05-2026
Sunderland
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
04-10-2025
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Sunderland
09-04-2017
Sunderland
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
26-12-2016
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
13-02-2016
Sunderland
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
26-09-2015
Manchester United
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
28-02-2015
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
24-08-2014
Sunderland
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
03-05-2014
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
05-10-2013
Sunderland
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
30-03-2013
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
15-12-2012
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Sunderland
13-05-2012
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
05-11-2011
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
26-12-2010
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
02-10-2010
Sunderland
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Away Crest Sunderland

22.10 @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25.10 vs Leeds 0-0
D
28.10 vs Brentford 3-2
W
31.10 @ Coventry 3-1
L
05.11 vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L
08.11 vs Chelsea 1-0
W

Manchester United (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Aston Villa Home Win Over 2.5 4 - 4
vs AS Roma Draw Over 2.5 3 - 2
@ Chelsea Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 0
vs Bournemouth Draw Over 2.5 0 - 3
@ Como Home Win Under 2.5 4 - 1

Sunderland (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Chelsea Away Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs Dinamo Zagreb Draw Under 2.5 0 - 2
@ Coventry Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 1
vs Brentford Away Win Over 2.5 3 - 2
vs Leeds Draw Under 2.5 0 - 0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.